Regulated Event-Contract Exchanges
Federally supervised exchanges that list binary contracts on real-world outcomes turn event risk into a legally tradable asset class accessible to retail and institutional capital.
Developed mainly in: United StatesImpacting: North America and Europe
Event-contract trading hit roughly $188 billion in volume during Q3 2026 according to CryptoRank data, about 70% above the prior quarter and 21 times the year-ago figure. Kalshi supplied most of the growth, with sports contracts making up around 40% of its quarterly turnover, while CFTC chairman Mike Selig pushes federal standards over state rules.
This is one of 24 signals scored in our latest scan.
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First flagged
13 May 2026 · score 7.0/10
Corroborating sources since flagging
83
Latest signals
Tracked from 8 signals, each traced to its source.
- Quarterly prediction-market volume reaches $188 billion as US regulator drafts framework
Ccn · 8 Oct 2026
- Bernstein raises prediction-market volume forecast tenfold to $10 trillion by 2035
Decrypt · 6 Oct 2026
- Weekly prediction market volume tops $11 billion as state regulators escalate court fight
Thelines · 6 Sept 2026
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